Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.154690 0.179726 0.207565 0.240827 0.279506 0.323090 0.375966
2025-03-23 0.116170 0.149624 0.190837 0.245399 0.315841 0.403875 0.522508
2025-03-30 0.092416 0.127759 0.174476 0.240858 0.332983 0.456669 0.635971
2025-04-06 0.077156 0.112978 0.163119 0.238595 0.349705 0.507885 0.751332
2025-04-13 0.066698 0.102640 0.155502 0.239151 0.368759 0.562906 0.877689
2025-04-20 0.060997 0.098148 0.155272 0.249820 0.403223 0.643807 1.052671
2025-04-27 0.055872 0.093629 0.154082 0.258328 0.434740 0.723261 1.235189
2025-05-04 0.051315 0.089280 0.152383 0.265409 0.464283 0.802445 1.426953
2025-05-11 0.046564 0.083889 0.148128 0.267330 0.484838 0.868360 1.603642
2025-05-18 0.041843 0.077890 0.141986 0.264937 0.497085 0.920635 1.761776
2025-05-25 0.037008 0.071041 0.133442 0.256945 0.497765 0.951521 1.883142
2025-06-01 0.034672 0.068567 0.132587 0.263189 0.525928 1.036692 2.119800
2025-06-08 0.031791 0.064752 0.128876 0.263690 0.543461 1.104526 2.333279
2025-06-15 0.029688 0.062240 0.127418 0.268550 0.570478 1.194722 2.605761
2025-06-22 0.026840 0.057828 0.121592 0.263577 0.576226 1.241625 2.791596
2025-06-29 0.024558 0.054326 0.117218 0.261097 0.586890 1.299975 3.010146
2025-07-06 0.022790 0.051722 0.114431 0.261706 0.604366 1.375089 3.276671
2025-07-13 0.022066 0.051356 0.116467 0.273396 0.648438 1.515031 3.714007
2025-07-20 0.021202 0.050562 0.117440 0.282720 0.688101 1.649556 4.156543
2025-07-27 0.020286 0.049533 0.117748 0.290479 0.724944 1.781819 4.611489
2025-08-03 0.019077 0.047654 0.115837 0.292584 0.748081 1.883553 5.002350
2025-08-10 0.017694 0.045179 0.112213 0.289962 0.758924 1.955934 5.326106
2025-08-17 0.016100 0.041984 0.106463 0.281204 0.752773 1.984184 5.534937